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정밀격자 폭풍해일 예측 모델 시스템 구축
IPCC AR52014 시나리오 분석을 통한 미래 한반도 해수면상승 가능범위 분석
국내 주요 연안 도시에 대한 과거 해일피해 사례 분석
해수면 상승 시나리오와 슈퍼 태풍 복합 작용시의 최대 가능 침수범람 범위 추정
Yoon JJ 2018 Fineresolution Numerical Simulations to Estimate Storm Surge Height and Inundation Vulnerability
Considering Future Climate Change Scenario In Shim JS Chun I and Lim HS eds Proceedings from the
International Coastal Symposium ICS 2018 Busan Republic of Korea Journal of Coastal Research Special Issue
No 85 pp 916920 Coconut Creek Florida ISSN 07490208
Typhoons are significant natural disasters in Korea causing considerable damage to property Climate change worsens
the situation The most severe loss of life and property in Korea was caused by Typhoon Maemi in September 2003
When storm surges coincide with high tides they cause even greater damage Therefore it is desirable to accurately
forecast storm surges to enable detailed evacuation planning including hazard mapping To estimate the maximum
probable inundation area while planning a hazard map it is necessary to consider future climate change scenarios The
simulation of the largest storm surge inundation was successfully carried out with the Typhoon Maemi scenario using
the FiniteVolume Coastal Ocean Model FVCOM According to the recent IPCC AR5 report the rate of sea level
rise SLR could accelerate to 1420 m by the end of the 21st century This estimate should be considered when
designing coastal structures in order to prevent coastal disasters We applied the results of SLR to coastal inundation
simulations We considered the effects of additional future SLR on the traditional storm surge inundation simulation
of Typhoon Maemi Virtual scenarios with additional SLR were simulated to evaluate the maximum probable surge
height and inundation depth and area for each climate change scenario along the southern coast of Korea The increase
in inundation heights and areas at the regional scale was found to be approximately 6770 and 414527
respectively This study provides a method to determine the maximum probable inundation area due to surge wave
propagation

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