연구보고서

기본
서해안으로 내습하는 폭풍해일 예측모형의 정밀도 개선, Development of a near real-time forecasting system for storm surge and coastal inundation
- 기간
- 2016. 01. 01 ~ 2016. 12. 30
- 연구책임자
- 윤종주
- 키워드
- Storm surge,Operational prediction system,TC96,FVCOM,Numerical simulation
- 다운로드
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[홈페이지원문공개]서해안으로 내습하는 폭풍해일 예측모형의 정밀도 개선_윤종주_20161121_paper_jjyoon1.pdf 다운로드 바로보기

내용
Climate change is resulting in an increase in disastrous effects such as sea level rise intensity and frequency of storms abnormal waves and storm surges in densely populated coastal areas In particular the coast of Korea
was repeatedly damaged by storm surge and subsequent inundation caused by the approach of strong typhoons Therefore it is desirable to accurately forecast storm surge height and coastal inundation In this study a rapid near realtime forecasting system was developed for addressing coastal inundation A primary study of this system for operational forecasting using typhoon advisories was conducted and applied for the 2012 typhoon Sanba To develop this forecasting system a systematic investigation of storm surge impacts to the Korean coast was conducted using the unstructured grid model FVCOM This model was employed to simulate nearfuture storm surges and their corresponding inundation characteristics Observed surges and inland inundation data were used to validate the model with satisfactory results In this forecasting system full automatic computations according to typhoon advisories were conducted for each typhoon invasion and uploaded to the disaster warning system Less than one hour from starting the calculation all pre and postprocessing was completed using parallel clusters We also collected field measurements to compare with simulated inundation results for typhoon Sanba The forecasting simulation results agreed with the observational data The system developed in this study could be useful as a prewarning system to prompt preparation of detailed evacuation plans that address storm surge inundation problems
was repeatedly damaged by storm surge and subsequent inundation caused by the approach of strong typhoons Therefore it is desirable to accurately forecast storm surge height and coastal inundation In this study a rapid near realtime forecasting system was developed for addressing coastal inundation A primary study of this system for operational forecasting using typhoon advisories was conducted and applied for the 2012 typhoon Sanba To develop this forecasting system a systematic investigation of storm surge impacts to the Korean coast was conducted using the unstructured grid model FVCOM This model was employed to simulate nearfuture storm surges and their corresponding inundation characteristics Observed surges and inland inundation data were used to validate the model with satisfactory results In this forecasting system full automatic computations according to typhoon advisories were conducted for each typhoon invasion and uploaded to the disaster warning system Less than one hour from starting the calculation all pre and postprocessing was completed using parallel clusters We also collected field measurements to compare with simulated inundation results for typhoon Sanba The forecasting simulation results agreed with the observational data The system developed in this study could be useful as a prewarning system to prompt preparation of detailed evacuation plans that address storm surge inundation problems
목차
1 INTRODUCTION
2 ESTABLISHMENT OF OPERATING SYSTEM
3 OPERATION CASE OF STORM SURGE INUNDATION PREDICTION SYSTEM
4 CONCLUSION
2 ESTABLISHMENT OF OPERATING SYSTEM
3 OPERATION CASE OF STORM SURGE INUNDATION PREDICTION SYSTEM
4 CONCLUSION
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